Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 230.732614 260.050214 292.685463 331.895239 377.972369 430.703347 496.048811
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 193.991817 234.171887 283.027550 347.607083 431.944458 540.083085 692.130000
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 175.832034 222.009506 281.557465 365.618844 483.979962 649.095209 905.167387
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 156.924880 204.871550 269.497322 365.466812 508.882948 723.178277 1084.231488
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 139.529679 186.970058 253.177849 355.569988 516.222355 770.507849 1230.765980
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 125.835663 172.395136 239.339031 346.589337 522.277126 815.224899 1381.963483
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 119.274827 167.192165 238.261125 356.449559 559.242835 917.287355 1664.052011
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 111.703429 159.608858 232.543733 357.765302 581.456844 996.942472 1925.034461
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 103.410995 150.103289 222.743841 350.827454 587.575567 1046.978285 2137.385929
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 97.638206 143.983236 217.675223 351.197741 606.873942 1126.394744 2442.970892
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 91.083012 136.059818 208.867337 343.792194 609.914931 1172.292910 2681.258294
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 86.332326 130.682409 203.812883 342.551554 624.860594 1246.999415 3024.022020
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 79.208881 121.038439 190.931327 325.793415 606.529581 1244.707851 3155.779580
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 77.693444 120.697106 194.237501 340.454976 657.484160 1420.056629 3914.516962
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 76.668533 121.073253 198.790524 358.069864 718.182889 1637.344413 4947.413338
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 73.257955 117.021996 194.877164 357.914551 737.808059 1750.650342 5674.079677
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 68.920252 111.034932 186.872219 348.274894 733.060944 1793.942031 6146.987611
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 65.057704 105.663250 179.634291 339.525296 729.226885 1839.508703 6665.326550
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 63.674447 104.695961 180.756502 349.131685 773.855295 2048.285064 8131.177586
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 61.438051 102.006157 178.288985 350.413416 796.855272 2194.980667 9422.989521
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 58.502528 97.836660 172.576747 343.654539 796.836501 2263.449512 10338.685386
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 56.510728 95.330540 170.029903 344.015297 816.954798 2411.206752 11924.230094
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 53.902690 91.506072 164.532075 336.799833 814.081076 2472.801266 13001.520946